Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.339647 0.366432 0.395154 0.428388 0.465961 0.507336 0.556637
2025-01-26 0.290488 0.330127 0.376162 0.434327 0.506972 0.596276 0.716957
2025-02-02 0.265256 0.314075 0.374548 0.456909 0.569447 0.723300 0.960469
2025-02-09 0.239669 0.292296 0.360654 0.459264 0.604122 0.820986 1.198540
2025-02-16 0.216244 0.269459 0.341047 0.448940 0.616789 0.887802 1.413750
2025-02-23 0.200774 0.255015 0.330323 0.448517 0.642752 0.980984 1.718214
2025-03-02 0.186033 0.239817 0.316357 0.440445 0.653785 1.050189 2.011375
2025-03-09 0.173297 0.226167 0.302979 0.431004 0.659994 1.111291 2.324252
2025-03-16 0.162687 0.214639 0.291518 0.422900 0.666633 1.174781 2.691055
2025-03-23 0.157492 0.210593 0.290996 0.432825 0.708725 1.329326 3.485683
2025-03-30 0.149518 0.201723 0.281994 0.426680 0.717605 1.409005 4.116236
2025-04-06 0.139619 0.189281 0.266284 0.406735 0.694407 1.399940 4.369819
2025-04-13 0.130413 0.177737 0.251791 0.388648 0.674801 1.402242 4.740703
2025-04-20 0.126475 0.174279 0.250535 0.395436 0.712227 1.584786 6.528331
2025-04-27 0.125083 0.174744 0.255897 0.415700 0.786266 1.927822 11.068901
2025-05-04 0.120845 0.170319 0.252440 0.417992 0.817534 2.151206 16.564646
2025-05-11 0.115288 0.163394 0.244043 0.409100 0.818010 2.259660 22.047798
2025-05-18 0.111438 0.159069 0.239950 0.408765 0.841724 2.487294 35.977344
2025-05-25 0.106967 0.153457 0.233119 0.401742 0.845249 2.629467 55.221852
2025-06-01 0.102670 0.147926 0.226075 0.393508 0.843688 2.749884 87.929029
2025-06-08 0.098834 0.142994 0.219832 0.386428 0.844303 2.887856 162.555925
2025-06-15 0.097248 0.141823 0.220513 0.395100 0.896136 3.388786 2060.002983
2025-06-22 0.094065 0.137734 0.215391 0.389733 0.901501 3.603853 NaN